I pondered back on 9 January having a bet on the Labour candidate to defeat the Tory Lord Mayor of London. Labour's Ken Livingstone back then was a $3.85 chance on Betfair. Tonight he is in to $2.40.
The reason is a couple of opinion polls showing Livingstone is now leading the incumbent Boris Johnson.
Having missed the price, even though my logic has so far proved correct, I'll keep waiting.
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