Coming down to earth

Well there went the 100% record! Taking Mitt Romney as a 70% chance to win in South Carolina turned out to be the wrong way to go. Clearly I moved too soon. By the time the voting started Newt Gingrich, the clear winner, was also the clear favourite as the Crikey Election Indicator showed:.

I've taken the wrong price about Florida too (Romney as an 82% chance). At the moment he is rated at 42% with Gingrich the new favourite.

We will see.