Sunday, December 25, 2011

Republican nomination: markets and the polls disagree

There is a growing divergence between who the opinion pollsters are recording as the most popular Republican presidential candidate and who the markets are predicting finally will be endorsed.
The Real Clear Politics average of the pollsters' findings puts Newt Gingrich as the popular choice with 27.8% support followed by Mitt Romney on 24.4%.
The Betfair and Intrade markets, however, put Romney as clearly the most likely eventual winner.

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