Playing the man just isn't working for Queensland Labor. This morning's Galaxy poll in the Brisbane Sunday Mail suggests, as the paper puts it, Labor Faces Disaster.
The $1.06 the bookies are offering about the Liberal National Party are probably generous but there is far better value in Sportingbet's $1.45 about Campbell Newman winning the seat of Ashgrove. The anti-Labor swing is shaping up as so large that even an excellent campaign by the sitting Labor member will not be enough.
Saturday's Newspoll looks pretty accurate to me.
I have taken the $1.45 - see the current portfolio of this and other wagers - including the $40 I optimistically put on Labor some months back to actually win the election! Silly me.