Backing Tony Abbott to last until 14 September

It's better than bank interest that $1.09 being offered on Tony Abbott leading the Liberal Party on the next Australian election day. The only real risk is death or incapacity before 14 September so having made a modest investment to win $18 I hope he doesn't fall off his bike.
Details of all the political speculator's investments are on the Portfolio page.
The profit to date is $457.50 on a $1000 bank.

Going for the long shot in Western Australia

I am believer in the underdog when it comes to elections. When governments are regarded s certainties oppositions regularly do much better than expected.

Hence the investment of 4 units on Labor to win in the Western Australian state election this weekend at a price of $26.

If nothing else it will help me fill in time until the English football coverage begins in the early hours of Sunday morning.

And it can't do much damage to the betting account balance which is showing a modest profit as you can see HERE.

Lib-Dems win - another modest earn

The Eastleigh by-election went the way the market suggested it would resulting in a modest $31 profit for the political speculator.

The record so far:

Total outlay on concluded events $1,942.6 for winnings of $461.5

Current bets outstanding total $804 leaving a cash balance available of $657.50

Full details of all bets are on the portfolio page.

Eastleigh - Backing the Lib-Dems

I'm betting that the attack on the Conservatives from the anti-Europe flank of UKIP will prove a bigger influence on the by-election today for the House of Commons seat of Eastleigh than the personal relations problems of a pair of Liberal Democrats.
100 units invested on the Lib-Dems at an average of 1.31
Eastleigh - Winner bet | UK Politics odds | betfair.com:

'via Blog this'

Backing UK Labour again

Today's UK opinion polls confirm the dismal prospect confronting the Conservative-Liberal Democrat government.

With the coalition refusing to change its policy of fiscal austerity I can not imagine the circumstances under which they could win the next election.
I have once again backed Labour to be the party with the most members after the next election.

100 Labour at 1.66

Some form on the early Papal favourite

Pope's successor: Ghana prays for Peter Turkson the miner's son to reach marbled halls - Telegraph:

"Cardinal Peter Turkson, born in a two-room shack 170 miles from Ghana's capital, is currently the bookmakers' favourite to become the next pope. If selected, it would make him the first African pope in modern times. And it is something that his family and friends in Nsuta-Wassa, a small mining settlement set amid rolling hills and lush forest in western Ghana, are struggling to believe.
"It is quite incredible that someone from here could become pope," said Dunhill Pawosey, 62, a life-long friend of Cardinal Turkson. "But we have total faith in him, and know he will do an excellent job. It is very exciting for us all.""

'via Blog this'

Best current price 4.33 at Stan James

Gillard drifts back to even money to remain Labor leader

The first weeks of this current parliamentary session have frightened the punters when it comes to Julia Gillard. She started the year rated an 80% chance of remaining the Labor Leader until the election. On Betfair this afternoon she was back out to $2 - a 50% chance.